GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 5.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tulevik are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and tulevik hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely result in the Esiliiga B, favouring Tartu Kalev with 6.4% confidence, a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

6.4%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWWWWL

GF 27 · GA 6 · avg 5.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TulevikDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tartu KalevTulevik
92.4Attack86.4
31.8Defence34.8
51.5Form54.5
55.4Power58.0
4.12xG3.49
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