GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

6.8%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevLWWWW

GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21DLLLW

GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevParnu JK Vaprus U21
92.4Attack92.4
31.8Defence22.7
51.5Form50.0
55.4Power53.4
4.50xG3.68
View match centre →