Tartu Kalevvs
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
SCHEDULEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Tartu Kalev are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
6.8%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20
GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00