Tartu Kalevvs
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 5/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Tartu Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20