Tartu KalevvsPaide III

Tartu Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Paide III are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Cup, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.