Tartu Kalevvs
Luunja
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Tartu Kalev are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Luunja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 18 · GA 13 · avg 3.60/2.60