GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 7/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Legion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 19.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevLLLLW

GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LegionLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevLegion
89.9Attack30.3
34.8Defence0.0
53.6Form21.2
56.5Power19.4
4.50xG1.09
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