GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JK Tabasalu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

71.5%

Model confidence

71.5%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWWWLL

GF 25 · GA 8 · avg 5.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
JK TabasaluLLWLW

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tartu KalevJK Tabasalu
89.9Attack51.5
34.8Defence12.1
53.6Form40.9
56.5Power37.2
4.50xG1.88
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