Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tarpa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eger are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eger hold a 50.2-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the NB III - Northeast, while Eger holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eger
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
11.8%
Eger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40