GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while South Hobart II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 5.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TaroonaLWWWW

GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
South Hobart IIWDWWW

GF 27 · GA 7 · avg 5.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TaroonaSouth Hobart II
100.0Attack100.0
51.0Defence56.3
58.8Form79.2
63.0Power73.0
2.84xG2.91
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