GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/18/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Taroona are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TaroonaLDDWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Olympia WarriorsWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TaroonaOlympia Warriors
100.0Attack92.2
51.0Defence45.1
58.8Form64.7
63.0Power65.3
3.66xG2.71
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