GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Taroona are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

7.4%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TaroonaWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy Knights U21LWLLL

GF 6 · GA 27 · avg 1.20/5.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaGlenorchy Knights U21
91.7Attack77.1
47.9Defence0.0
56.3Form22.9
61.6Power28.4
4.50xG2.17
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