Taroonavs
Glenorchy Knights U21
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Taroona are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taroona
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
7.4%
Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 27 · avg 1.20/5.40