Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Taraz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulytau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Cup, while Ulytau holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00