GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 6/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Taraz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TarazLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TarazShakhter Karagandy
42.6Attack94.4
57.4Defence87.0
44.4Form90.7
49.5Power87.7
0.73xG2.32
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