GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tapatío are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tapatío

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TapatíoLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz Azul HidalgoNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
TapatíoCruz Azul Hidalgo
50.0Attack11.1
58.3Defence55.6
58.3Form22.2
58.8Power32.7
1.67xG1.01
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