TapatíovsCDS Tampico Madero

Tapatío are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.