GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tamworth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Tamworth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stoke City U21 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tamworth hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tamworth holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tamworth

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Tamworth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TamworthLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stoke City U21LL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
TamworthStoke City U21
76.2Attack0.0
38.1Defence33.3
52.4Form0.0
57.2Power15.3
2.82xG1.50
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