GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tamworth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Tamworth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Macclesfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tamworth hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 12.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tamworth holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tamworth

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

8.8%

Tamworth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TamworthDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MacclesfieldWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TamworthMacclesfield
76.2Attack22.2
38.1Defence0.0
52.4Form11.1
57.2Power12.9
3.28xG1.36
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