GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tamworth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Tamworth are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tamworth hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tamworth holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tamworth

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Tamworth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TamworthWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Aston Villa U21LLLDL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TamworthAston Villa U21
76.2Attack66.7
38.1Defence33.3
52.4Form33.3
57.2Power45.3
2.59xG1.75
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