Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50