Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rhode Island are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
13.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40