GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rhode Island are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

13.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesDWWWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rhode IslandWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
63.2Attack52.9
66.7Defence62.7
71.9Form49.0
68.3Power55.0
1.58xG0.93
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