Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40