GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Phoenix RisingWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
63.2Attack42.1
66.7Defence54.4
71.9Form38.6
68.3Power46.4
1.99xG0.72
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