GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

13.6%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Oakland RootsLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesOakland Roots
63.2Attack41.7
66.7Defence51.7
71.9Form36.7
68.3Power45.9
2.11xG0.71
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