GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Loudoun United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

73.4%

Model confidence

73.4%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedDLLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
63.2Attack38.9
66.7Defence44.4
71.9Form33.3
68.3Power41.4
2.45xG0.65
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