GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Charleston BatteryDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesCharleston Battery
63.2Attack66.7
66.7Defence57.9
71.9Form57.9
68.3Power59.5
1.76xG1.18
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