Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
TalTech are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 7.00 conceded, while Keila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Keila hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the Cup, while Keila holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keila
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
7.7%
Keila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/7.00
GF 20 · GA 14 · avg 4.00/2.80