Tallinna KalevvsTartu Welco

Tallinna Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.