Tallinna KalevvsNõmme Kalju II

Tallinna Kalev are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.