GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 7/3/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MaarduWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tallinna KalevMaardu
65.2Attack53.0
36.4Defence24.2
43.9Form43.9
48.7Power42.2
3.35xG1.90
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