GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and tallinna Kalev hold a 11.7-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Esiliiga A, favouring Tallinna Kalev with 8.3% confidence, a 76% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

68.8%

Model confidence

8.3%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevWWWLD

GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
65.2Attack43.9
36.4Defence24.2
43.9Form36.4
48.7Power37.0
3.40xG1.55
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