GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Elva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

7.5%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevWDWWW

GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna KalevElva
65.2Attack62.1
36.4Defence45.5
43.9Form51.5
48.7Power54.1
2.34xG2.29
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