GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 7/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Rakvere FC Freedom are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev II hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Cup, while Tallinna Kalev II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev II

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Tallinna Kalev II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IILLWLD

GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Rakvere FC FreedomD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Tallinna Kalev IIRakvere FC Freedom
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form16.7
90.7Power31.3
3.52xG1.64
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