GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 4/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IIWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21LDWWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tallinna Kalev IIParnu JK Vaprus U21
68.2Attack88.4
13.6Defence24.6
25.8Form47.8
36.1Power52.1
3.37xG4.50
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