GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 5/28/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Luunja are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luunja

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IIDLLLL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LuunjaWDWLW

GF 21 · GA 11 · avg 4.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna Kalev IILuunja
68.2Attack88.4
13.6Defence37.7
25.8Form63.8
36.1Power61.0
2.70xG4.50
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