GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Johvi Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Johvi Phoenix are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Johvi Phoenix hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Johvi Phoenix holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Johvi Phoenix

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Johvi Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IILLLWL

GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Johvi PhoenixLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi Phoenix
68.2Attack72.5
13.6Defence24.6
25.8Form50.7
36.1Power50.6
3.37xG3.85
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