Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Talant · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Talant are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toktogul are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Talant hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Premier League, while Talant holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Talant
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Talant has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80