GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacuary · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tacuary are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Carapeguá hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Division Intermedia, while Tacuary holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacuary

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Tacuary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaryDDDLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportivo CarapeguáWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TacuarySportivo Carapeguá
40.7Attack40.7
50.0Defence46.3
33.3Form46.3
43.9Power47.1
1.38xG1.13
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