Tacuaryvs
Resistencia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tacuary are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Resistencia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Resistencia hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Division Intermedia, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80