GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tacuarembo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rentistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaremboDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RentistasDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaremboRentistas
26.3Attack40.4
61.4Defence63.2
36.8Form49.1
44.2Power52.9
0.61xG0.88
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