GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tacuarembo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaremboLDLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Plaza ColoniaLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaremboPlaza Colonia
26.3Attack43.9
61.4Defence75.4
36.8Form56.1
44.2Power59.4
0.40xG0.97
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