Tacuarembovs
La Luz
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tacuarembo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Luz are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and La Luz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
32.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40