Tacuarembovs
Cerrito
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tacuarembo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerrito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerrito hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80