GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tacuarembo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA River Plate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaremboLLDLW

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CA River PlateDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaremboCA River Plate
26.3Attack45.6
61.4Defence45.6
36.8Form43.9
44.2Power47.5
0.91xG0.97
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