Tacuarembovs
CA River Plate
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tacuarembo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA River Plate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20