GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 6/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real MonarchsWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs
45.5Attack47.0
51.5Defence36.4
47.0Form33.3
49.6Power40.0
1.96xG1.24
View match centre →