Tacoma Defiancevs
Portland Timbers II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers II
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40