Tacoma Defiancevs
Los Angeles II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 4/27/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tacoma Defiance are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Los Angeles II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
12.6%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60