GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/27/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colorado Rapids II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

63.5%

Model confidence

63.5%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado Rapids IILWLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tacoma DefianceColorado Rapids II
45.5Attack29.0
51.5Defence36.2
47.0Form18.8
49.6Power31.5
2.02xG0.74
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