GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Austin II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Austin IIWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceAustin II
45.5Attack71.2
51.5Defence71.2
47.0Form75.8
49.6Power73.0
0.81xG2.08
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