Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaposvar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Szekszárd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Kaposvar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaposvar hold an 83.8-point power-rating edge (6.0 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the NB III - Southwest, while Kaposvar holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kaposvar
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
9.6%
Kaposvar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40