GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Western Sydney W. II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Western Sydney W. IIWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedWestern Sydney W. II
48.8Attack61.9
76.2Defence46.4
71.4Form41.7
67.3Power48.7
1.80xG0.90
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